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Mongolia H2 2026 Outlook: Oyu Tolgoi Leverage and Mining Reform Risks
H2 2026 Mongolia Outlook: Expert analysis on Prime Minister Uchral's economic liberation agenda, fiscal risks, and the Oyu Tolgoi negotiations.
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Mongolian Prime Minister Uchral Turns Oyu Tolgoi Dividends Into a 2027 Budget Pillar
Mongolia’s 2027 budget hinges on Oyu Tolgoi and mining sector dividends. Can PM Uchral balance tax relief, wage hikes, and mining revenue risks?
4 days ago
Mongolia’s Supplementary Budget Turns Temporary Savings Into Permanent Costs
Mongolia’s supplementary budget may be fiscally neutral today, but higher wages and pensions could lock permanent costs into future budgets.
Sep 1
Mongolia Budget: Why Central Bank Raised Rates Ahead of Fiscal Debate
The Bank of Mongolia raised interest rates to 12.5% to signal fiscal restraint ahead of the upcoming Mongolia budget debate.
Aug 26
Rising Debts and Deficits Threaten Mongolia Economic Growth in New IMF Forecast
Mongolia economic growth forecast: deficits accelerating to 6.5% by 2031, debt to 62%. What the IMF communiqué won't explicitly say about copper and political risk.
Jul 22
Mongolia Prime Minister Uchral's 100 Days: Wins, Inflation, and Energy Risks
Mongolia Prime Minister Uchral marks 100 days in office amid rising inflation, Oyu Tolgoi talks, and looming winter energy risks.
Jul 20
Oyu Tolgoi Rate Cut Masks Deeper Issues
Mongolia cuts Oyu Tolgoi loan rates by 2.6 points and shortens the review cycle from 7 years to 3, adding to a fee cut PM Uchral calls a historic win.
Jul 6
Mongolia H2 2026 Outlook: Oyu Tolgoi Leverage and Mining Reform Risks
H2 2026 Mongolia Outlook: Expert analysis on Prime Minister Uchral's economic liberation agenda, fiscal risks, and the Oyu Tolgoi negotiations.
Jun 28
Ulaanbaatar’s Budget Explosion: The Capital Outgrowing Its Guardrails
Ulaanbaatar’s budget skyrocketed to over $2B. Inside the sudden fiscal boom, toothless oversight, and political factions clashing over the capital.
Jun 24
Mongolia Prime Minister Uchral Unveils His “Fair” Pension Reforms
Prime Minister Uchral’s new Mongolia pension reform eliminates past inequities and adds private savings, but a massive fiscal price tag risks long-term stability.
Jun 22
Mongolia Links Copper Royalty Cuts to Oyu Tolgoi Talks
Mongolia freezes copper royalty reform as Rio Tinto talks intensify, putting Oyu Tolgoi debt, licences and future mining investment at stake.
Jun 17
Spot the Opportunities. Navigate the Risks
Independent analysis of Mongolia's politics, economy and geopolitics risks. The essential weekly briefing for investors, policymakers, diplomats and anyone who needs to understand where Mongolia is heading.
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